Alerts

UPDATED now1-DAY DELAY
112DISCORD · Alerts sent · last 14 days112Of those, resolved35Wallets on the roster

Every alert the Discord channel has sent in the last 14 days, with the outcome where the market has resolved — wins and losses alike. They come from a roster of Polymarket wallets whose win rate beats their own average entry by more than two standard errors of their sample, and only while they trade markets Kalshi lists. The record shows what that roster carries.

THE ALERTS

NEWEST FIRST · LAST 14 DAYS

Every row below is shown 1 day after it was sent. Premium sees this page live, and its alerts fire the second the print lands, in Discord.

WON

Dplus KIA · LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Playoffs

Diligent-Tectonics · $11K · Kalshi market attached

63¢
1d
LOST

St. Louis Cardinals · St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

Fat-Depression · $55 · Kalshi market attached

39¢
1d
WON

Dane Sweeny · US Open ATP: Dane Sweeny vs Lorenzo Musetti

Virtuous-Lye · $1.3K · Kalshi market attached

26¢
2d
LOST

Leolia Jeanjean · US Open WTA: Anastasia Potapova vs Leolia Jeanjean

Virtuous-Lye · $2.2K · Kalshi market attached

21¢
2d
WON

Dplus KIA · LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Playoffs

Diligent-Tectonics · $3.3K · Kalshi market attached

64¢
2d
WON

Johan Nikles · Como: Johan Nikles vs Filip Jianu

Virtuous-Lye · $5.5K · Kalshi market attached

52¢
2d
WON

EAC Extra · Counter-Strike: Teletubisie vs EAC Extra - Map 2 Winner

Youthful-Intervention · $300 · Kalshi market attached

32¢
2d
WON

St. Louis Cardinals · St. Louis Cardinals vs. Los Angeles Dodgers

Fat-Depression · $54 · Kalshi market attached

27¢
2d
Show 32 more alerts
LOST

Lloyd Harris · US Open ATP: Lloyd Harris vs Stefanos Tsitsipas

Virtuous-Lye · $5.1K · Kalshi market attached

59¢
2d
LOST

Chicago Cubs · Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs

Partial-Bloom · $500 · Kalshi market attached

41¢
3d
LOST

Cleveland Guardians · Toronto Blue Jays vs. Cleveland Guardians

Partial-Bloom · $501 · Kalshi market attached

47¢
3d
LOST

Walczaki · Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Walczaki (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs

Youthful-Intervention · $337 · Kalshi market attached

38¢
3d
LOST

Pol Martin Tiffon · Plovdiv 3: Pol Martin Tiffon vs Oleksandr Ovcharenko

Virtuous-Lye · $453 · Kalshi market attached

5¢
3d
WON

EAC Extra · Counter-Strike: QUB vs EAC Extra (BO3) - United21 Playoffs

Youthful-Intervention · $539 · Kalshi market attached

60¢
3d
LOST

Juan Manuel Cerundolo · US Open ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Arthur Gea

Virtuous-Lye · $17K · Kalshi market attached

73¢
3d
LOST

Boston Red Sox · Seattle Mariners vs. Boston Red Sox

Partial-Bloom · $501 · Kalshi market attached

54¢
4d
LOST

Noir Verse · Counter-Strike: Noir Verse vs HAVU - Map 1 Winner

Youthful-Intervention · $109 · Kalshi market attached

50¢
4d
LOST

Wadi Degla SC · Will Wadi Degla SC win on 2026-09-01?

Handy-Lychee · $90 · Kalshi market attached

45¢
4d
LOST

Arizona Diamondbacks · Philadelphia Phillies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

Partial-Bloom · $500 · Kalshi market attached

46¢
4d
WON

1WIN · Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs INOX Division (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Playoffs

Youthful-Intervention · $630 · Kalshi market attached

63¢
4d
LOST

Misa Esports · Counter-Strike: UNiTY esports vs Misa Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #8 Play-In

Youthful-Intervention · $764 · Kalshi market attached

39¢
4d
WON

Hanwha Life Esports · LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Playoffs

Diligent-Tectonics · $2.0K · Kalshi market attached

65¢
4d
WON

Ann Li · US Open WTA: Ann Li vs Antonia Ruzic

Lanky-Gemsbok-Priest · $135 · Kalshi market attached

65¢
4d
WON

Linda Noskova · US Open WTA: Katie Volynets vs Linda Noskova

Lanky-Gemsbok-Priest · $60 · Kalshi market attached

45¢
4d
LOST

Tampa Bay Rays · New York Mets vs. Tampa Bay Rays

Inferior-Traffic · $43K · Kalshi market attached

65¢
5d
WON

Brandon Nakashima · US Open ATP: Brandon Nakashima vs Sebastian Baez

Entire-Sage · $488 · Kalshi market attached

88¢
5d
LOST

FUT Esports · Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Vitality - Map 1 Winner

Spry-Cause · $800 · Kalshi market attached

61¢
5d
WON

Andrey Rublev · US Open ATP: Otto Virtanen vs Andrey Rublev

Lanky-Gemsbok-Priest · $54 · Kalshi market attached

69¢
5d
LOST

ex-RUBY · Counter-Strike: 1WIN vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Playoffs

Youthful-Intervention · $500 · Kalshi market attached

32¢
5d
LOST

Kristina Liutova · US Open WTA: Qinwen Zheng vs Kristina Liutova

Entire-Sage · $306 · Kalshi market attached

69¢
5d
LOST

Arthur Fils · US Open ATP: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Arthur Fils

Entire-Sage · $472 · Kalshi market attached

85¢
5d
LOST

Misa Esports · Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs BakS eSports (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #5 Group B

Youthful-Intervention · $500 · Kalshi market attached

49¢
5d
LOST

Atlanta Braves · San Francisco Giants vs. Atlanta Braves

Partial-Bloom · $500 · Kalshi market attached

61¢
5d
WON

G2 · Counter-Strike: G2 vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner

Spry-Cause · $300 · Kalshi market attached

61¢
5d
WON

Damajuana · Counter-Strike: Damajuana vs Zetta Games (BO3) - CCT South America Series 5 Group Stage

Youthful-Intervention · $700 · Kalshi market attached

68¢
5d
LOST

G2 · Counter-Strike: G2 vs Aurora Gaming - Map 1 Winner

Spry-Cause · $100 · Kalshi market attached

50¢
5d
LOST

Noir Verse · Counter-Strike: Noir Verse vs Atreides (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #5 Group C

Youthful-Intervention · $660 · Kalshi market attached

60¢
5d
LOST

FC Famalicão · Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-08-30?

Handy-Lychee · $100 · Kalshi market attached

43¢
6d
WON

Denis Shapovalov · US Open ATP: Miomir Kecmanovic vs Denis Shapovalov

Entire-Sage · $311 · Kalshi market attached

70¢
6d
LOST

Legacy · Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Legacy (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B

Spry-Cause · $100 · Kalshi market attached

39¢
6d

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POLYMARKET · public on-chain record, verifiable on Polygon · outcomes are the market's resolution of the side named, not a follower's realized result · described, never advised.

Nothing here tells you what to do. Some competitors promise verified traders or winning entries; that is data that does not exist or claims regulators have acted against. This site shows the public record, fast, with the misses on the page.

NEXT

The recordthe edge our roster carries, wallet by wallet
Premiumthe same alerts, in Discord, in real time

QUESTIONS

Whose trades are these?

A roster of Polymarket wallets kept only while their win rate beats their own average entry price by more than two standard errors of their own sample — an edge large enough that luck is an unlikely explanation — and only while they trade markets Kalshi actually lists, because an alert you cannot act on is noise. Wallets are re-tested continuously and drop off the roster when the edge stops clearing that bar.

Why not just follow Polymarket's profit leaderboard?

Because realized profit is measured off the closed book, and a position ridden to zero is usually never redeemed, so it never enters that book. The leaderboard cannot see those losses. The ledger behind this roster reads the open book too, which is why our set and that leaderboard are different sets of wallets.

Is this page the same as the Discord channel?

These are the same alerts, shown after the fact. Premium receives each one the moment the print clears, in Discord, with the Kalshi market to act on attached. This page is the free, delayed view of what was already sent.

Is this advice?

No. Each row is a public fact about what a tracked wallet did, with its price and timestamp. Profitable traders are wrong often, a past record does not predict any single trade, and this page recommends nothing.

Why Polymarket and not Kalshi?

Kalshi's tape is anonymous, so trader-level tracking there is impossible and anyone claiming it is inventing it. Polymarket's wallets are public on-chain record. Every alert names the Kalshi market the position corresponds to, which is where a US reader can act.