Polymarket top traders / wallet
SlenderMan
Polymarket wallet
0xab19716584931d81cd9e7763402673a64baa4876
SlenderMan is a Polymarket wallet WhaleScanr tracks. This page is WhaleScanr's record of what the wallet actually did: the larger trades in the archive, the markets they were in, and any larger positions it holds now with the average price each was entered at. Realized profit is a public fact about the past, not a forecast. Described, never advised.
WhaleScanr's own archive of this wallet's larger trades, collected from Polymarket's public API since the wallet entered the tracked universe via a deep leaderboard crawl, first seen 2026-07-28. Suspected self-matched trades are excluded from display, never deleted. This is a public record, not a rating, and past profit predicts nothing. 10 of the recorded trades landed before Polymarket's CLOB cutover on 2026-04-28, a different accounting era. The tiles above count both eras; every per-era figure below keeps them apart, and those rows are listed in their own section.
CURRENT LARGER POSITIONS
LIVE FROM THE PUBLIC APIStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
holds NO at 84¢ avg
$53K
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
holds NO at 93¢ avg
$41K
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
holds NO at 91¢ avg
$22K
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by August 31, 2026?
holds NO at 89¢ avg
$16K
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?
holds NO at 72¢ avg
$13K
RECORDED LARGER TRADES
LAST 50 · NEWEST FIRSTUS x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
bought YES at 51¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
bought YES at 51¢
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?
bought NO at 95¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
bought NO at 91¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
sold NO at 98¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
bought NO at 86¢
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?
bought NO at 98¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
bought NO at 85¢
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?
bought NO at 84¢
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?
bought NO at 98¢
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?
sold NO at 96¢
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?
bought NO at 77¢
Show 38 more recorded trades
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?
bought NO at 76¢
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?
bought NO at 76¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
bought NO at 97¢
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 17?
bought NO at 93¢
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 10?
bought NO at >99¢
Will Russia enter Kramatorsk by June 30?
sold NO at >99¢
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?
sold NO at >99¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
bought NO at 96¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
bought NO at 95¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
bought YES at 8¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
sold YES at 7¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?
bought NO at 86¢
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
bought NO at 99¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
bought NO at 95¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
bought NO at 93¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
bought NO at 92¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
bought YES at 24¢
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
bought NO at 99¢
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
bought NO at 87¢
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
sold NO at 75¢
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?
sold NO at 92¢
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?
bought NO at 87¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
bought NO at 86¢
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?
bought NO at 93¢
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 12?
bought NO at 94¢
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 15?
bought NO at 91¢
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
bought NO at 99¢
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
bought NO at 99¢
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
bought NO at 98¢
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
bought NO at 99¢
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
bought NO at 98¢
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?
bought NO at 97¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
sold YES at 12¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
bought NO at 79¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
sold NO at 86¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
bought NO at 93¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
bought NO at 86¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
bought NO at 92¢
POLYMARKET · trades over the collection floor, recorded by WhaleScanr's worker · every row verifiable on Polygon · described, never advised.
EARLIER TRADES
ARCHIVE · BEFORE 2026-04-28Recorded before Polymarket's CLOB cutover on 2026-04-28. A different accounting era, so they are kept out of every per-era figure and listed here on their own. Shown as record; past profit predicts nothing.
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
bought NO at 81¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
bought NO at 89¢
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by April 15?
bought NO at 89¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
bought YES at 99¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
sold NO at 4¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
sold NO at 6¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
sold NO at 28¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
sold NO at 57¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
sold NO at 77¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
bought NO at 89¢