Polymarket top traders / wallet
Treadmilled
Polymarket wallet
0xf4baccff188321440a1ed01a5d5fd89c3e1f5933
Treadmilled is a Polymarket wallet WhaleScanr tracks. This page is WhaleScanr's record of what the wallet actually did: the larger trades in the archive, the markets they were in, and any larger positions it holds now with the average price each was entered at. Realized profit is a public fact about the past, not a forecast. Described, never advised.
WhaleScanr's own archive of this wallet's larger trades, collected from Polymarket's public API since the wallet entered the tracked universe via the weekly profit leaderboard, first seen 2026-07-27. Suspected self-matched trades are excluded from display, never deleted. This is a public record, not a rating, and past profit predicts nothing. 40 of the recorded trades landed before Polymarket's CLOB cutover on 2026-04-28, a different accounting era. The tiles above count both eras; every per-era figure below keeps them apart, and those rows are listed in their own section.
CURRENT LARGER POSITIONS
LIVE FROM THE PUBLIC APIWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
holds YES at 19¢ avg
$108K
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
holds NO at 86¢ avg
$8.2K
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
holds NO at 24¢ avg
$5.1K
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
holds NO at 65¢ avg
$1.2K
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
holds YES at 59¢ avg
$178
RECORDED LARGER TRADES
LAST 21 · NEWEST FIRSTWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
bought NO at 78¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
bought NO at 78¢
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
bought NO at 93¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
bought NO at 92¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
bought YES at 21¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
bought YES at 20¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
bought YES at 17¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
bought YES at 22¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
bought YES at 22¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
bought YES at 67¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
bought YES at 31¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
bought YES at 77¢
Show 9 more recorded trades
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
bought YES at 17¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
bought YES at 16¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
bought YES at 15¢
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
bought NO at 99¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
bought YES at 16¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
bought YES at 15¢
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
bought YES at 3¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
bought YES at 35¢
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
bought YES at 31¢
POLYMARKET · trades over the collection floor, recorded by WhaleScanr's worker · every row verifiable on Polygon · described, never advised.
EARLIER TRADES
ARCHIVE · BEFORE 2026-04-28Recorded before Polymarket's CLOB cutover on 2026-04-28. A different accounting era, so they are kept out of every per-era figure and listed here on their own. Shown as record; past profit predicts nothing.
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
bought YES at 59¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
bought YES at 98¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
bought YES at 3¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
bought YES at 2¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
bought YES at 47¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
bought YES at 47¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
bought YES at 46¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
bought YES at 23¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
bought YES at 51¢
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
bought YES at 47¢
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader by March 31, 2026?
bought NO at 74¢
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
bought NO at 64¢
Show 28 more earlier trades
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
bought YES at 27¢
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
bought YES at 28¢
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
bought NO at 97¢
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
bought NO at 95¢
US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026?
bought YES at 4¢
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
sold NO at >99¢
US government shutdown Saturday?
sold YES at >99¢
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
sold NO at 99¢
US government shutdown Saturday?
bought YES at 91¢
US government shutdown Saturday?
bought YES at 82¢
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
bought NO at 98¢
US government shutdown Saturday?
bought YES at 66¢
US government shutdown Saturday?
bought YES at 69¢
US government shutdown Saturday?
bought YES at 67¢
US government shutdown Saturday?
bought YES at 66¢
US government shutdown Saturday?
bought YES at 67¢
US government shutdown Saturday?
bought YES at 70¢
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
bought YES at 49¢
US government shutdown Saturday?
bought YES at 57¢
US government shutdown Saturday?
bought YES at 70¢
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
sold YES at >99¢
US government shutdown Saturday?
bought YES at 63¢
US government shutdown Saturday?
bought YES at 77¢
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?
bought NO at 53¢
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
bought YES at 99¢
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
bought YES at 32¢
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?
bought YES at 6¢
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
bought NO at 40¢