The flag ledger
UPDATED nowKALSHI · LIVEEvery recent flagged whale print on Kalshi, exactly as it was called at the time. Kalshi's tape is anonymous, so a flag is a statistical event, not a trader. Settled markets say whether the flagged side won or lost, and misses stay on the page.
SETTLED FLAGS
WITH 20 · AGAINST 8 · AVG ENTRY 61¢Sampled across the full 30-day window, each day's newest settled flags first, so one busy hour cannot fill the list.
NO on Above $82.59 · WTI price on July 29, 2026 at 4:00 AM ET
2026-07-29 07:55 UTC · at 96¢
$1.9K
SETTLED WITH
NO on Pablo Llamas Ruiz · Rice vs Llamas Ruiz
2026-07-29 06:38 UTC · at 96¢ · 75× typical
$26K
SETTLED WITH
YES on Chelsea vs Western Sydney Wanderers
2026-07-28 10:06 UTC · at 65¢ · 14× typical
$2.1K
SETTLED WITH
YES on Madhwin Kamath · Kamath vs Hohmann
2026-07-28 10:06 UTC · at 19¢ · 2× typical
$1.0K
SETTLED AGAINST
YES on Nongshim Esports Academy vs. T1 Academy
2026-07-27 10:06 UTC · at 78¢ · 20× typical
$3.5K
SETTLED WITH
YES on Miriana Tona · Szabo vs Tona
2026-07-27 10:06 UTC · at 57¢ · 7× typical
$2.9K
SETTLED WITH
YES on Diego Dedura-Palomero · Dedura-Palomero vs Virtanen
2026-07-26 10:06 UTC · at 46¢ · 5× typical
$1.3K
SETTLED WITH
YES on Diego Dedura-Palomero · Dedura-Palomero vs Virtanen
2026-07-26 10:06 UTC · at 45¢ · 9× typical
$2.3K
SETTLED WITH
NO on Emma Ottavia Ghirardato · Ghirardato vs Radovanovic
2026-07-25 10:06 UTC · at 97¢ · 35× typical
$4.9K
SETTLED WITH
YES on Nina Radovanovic · Ghirardato vs Radovanovic
2026-07-25 10:06 UTC · at 96¢ · 90× typical
$19K
SETTLED WITH
YES on JD Gaming vs. Team WE: Map 2
2026-07-24 10:05 UTC · at 64¢ · 6× typical
$2.5K
SETTLED WITH
YES on Sara Victoria Balan · Kujovic vs Balan
2026-07-24 10:05 UTC · at 73¢ · 21× typical
$4.2K
SETTLED WITH
Show 16 more settled flags
YES on Maiar Sherif Ahmed Abdelaziz · Sherif Ahmed Abdelaziz vs Jacquemot
2026-07-23 10:06 UTC · at 93¢ · 4× typical
$4.6K
SETTLED WITH
NO on Elsa Jacquemot · Sherif Ahmed Abdelaziz vs Jacquemot
2026-07-23 10:06 UTC · at 93¢ · 3× typical
$1.8K
SETTLED WITH
NO on David Bakonyi · Zakaria vs Bakonyi
2026-07-22 10:06 UTC · at 95¢ · 6× typical
$1.2K
SETTLED WITH
YES on Himari Sato · Stevens vs Sato
2026-07-22 10:06 UTC · at 51¢ · 5× typical
$1.3K
SETTLED AGAINST
YES on Struff vs Shevchenko
2026-07-21 10:06 UTC · at 48¢ · 7× typical
$4.7K
SETTLED WITH
YES on Chase Ferguson · Ferguson vs Jones
2026-07-21 10:06 UTC · at 68¢ · 6× typical
$1.0K
SETTLED WITH
NO on Katarzyna Kawa · Kawa vs Badosa
2026-07-20 10:05 UTC · at 60¢ · 6× typical
$3.0K
SETTLED WITH
NO on Katarzyna Kawa · Kawa vs Badosa
2026-07-20 10:05 UTC · at 60¢ · 8× typical
$3.9K
SETTLED WITH
YES on Final: Spain vs Argentina
2026-07-19 10:05 UTC · at 42¢ · 15× typical
$4.6K
SETTLED AGAINST
NO on Spain vs Argentina: Regulation Time BTTS
2026-07-19 10:05 UTC · at 45¢ · 4× typical
$2.0K
SETTLED WITH
YES on SSCH · The Open Championship Winner
2026-07-18 10:03 UTC · at 14¢ · 8× typical
$2.4K
SETTLED AGAINST
YES on Messi vs Mbappé: 2026 Tournament Goals
2026-07-18 09:55 UTC · at 25¢ · 12× typical
$1.8K
SETTLED AGAINST
YES on Final: Spain vs Argentina
2026-07-17 10:05 UTC · at 42¢ · 6× typical
$1.8K
SETTLED AGAINST
YES on Final: Spain vs Argentina
2026-07-17 10:00 UTC · at 42¢ · 15× typical
$4.7K
SETTLED AGAINST
YES on Final: Spain vs Argentina
2026-07-16 10:06 UTC · at 43¢ · 6× typical
$1.9K
SETTLED AGAINST
NO on Cerundolo vs Kecmanovic
2026-07-16 10:06 UTC · at 64¢ · 4× typical
$1.2K
SETTLED WITH
This list is a sample. Every settled flag back to the first is in the archive, 50 to a page, each queryable against how the market resolved.
OPEN FLAGS
MOST RECENT · MARKETS NOT YET RESOLVEDYES on Jan Kumstat · Kumstat vs Seyboth Wild
2026-07-29 10:05 UTC · at 88¢ · 30× typical
$4.2K
YES on Manon Favier · Favier vs Ahti
2026-07-29 10:04 UTC · at 68¢
$1.5K
NO on Venla Ahti · Favier vs Ahti
2026-07-29 10:04 UTC · at 67¢
$1.1K
YES on Thiago Seyboth Wild · Kumstat vs Seyboth Wild
2026-07-29 10:04 UTC · at 11¢ · 8× typical
$1.5K
NO on Cerezo vs Dortmund
2026-07-29 10:04 UTC · at 51¢ · 18× typical
$2.1K
YES on Lavinia Luciano · Najzer vs Luciano
2026-07-29 10:04 UTC · at 83¢ · 9× typical
$1.6K
YES on Lavinia Luciano · Najzer vs Luciano
2026-07-29 10:04 UTC · at 83¢ · 20× typical
$3.8K
NO on Margaux Rouvroy · Rame vs Rouvroy
2026-07-29 10:04 UTC · at 88¢
$7.4K
NO on Piet Luis Pinter · Pinter vs Naw
2026-07-29 10:04 UTC · at 80¢ · 5× typical
$1.6K
NO on Piet Luis Pinter · Pinter vs Naw
2026-07-29 10:04 UTC · at 80¢ · 7× typical
$2.2K
NO on Jan Kumstat · Kumstat vs Seyboth Wild
2026-07-29 10:04 UTC · at 11¢ · 10× typical
$1.4K
NO on Przemyslaw Michocki · Michalski vs Michocki
2026-07-29 10:04 UTC · at 97¢
$2.0K
Show 38 more open flags
YES on Megan Heuser · Heuser vs Dessolis
2026-07-29 10:04 UTC · at 51¢
$1.8K
YES on Piet Luis Pinter · Pinter vs Naw
2026-07-29 10:04 UTC · at 29¢ · 4× typical
$1.2K
YES on Piet Luis Pinter · Pinter vs Naw
2026-07-29 10:04 UTC · at 27¢ · 9× typical
$2.9K
NO on Nicolas Kicker · Kicker vs Ferreira Silva
2026-07-29 10:04 UTC · at 70¢ · 32× typical
$3.6K
NO on Nicolas Kicker · Kicker vs Ferreira Silva
2026-07-29 10:04 UTC · at 70¢ · 11× typical
$1.3K
YES on Hazem Naw · Pinter vs Naw
2026-07-29 10:04 UTC · at 80¢ · 3× typical
$1.1K
YES on Lavinia Luciano · Najzer vs Luciano
2026-07-29 10:03 UTC · at 83¢ · 20× typical
$3.7K
NO on Ane Mintegi Del Olmo · Rus vs Mintegi Del Olmo
2026-07-29 10:03 UTC · at 74¢
$3.6K
YES on Arantxa Rus · Rus vs Mintegi Del Olmo
2026-07-29 10:03 UTC · at 74¢
$4.6K
YES on Jan Choinski · Choinski vs Barrena
2026-07-29 10:03 UTC · at 92¢ · 1× typical
$1.1K
NO on 8 legs · Combo
2026-07-29 10:03 UTC · at 64¢
$1.8K
YES on KT Rolster vs. T1
2026-07-29 10:03 UTC · at 81¢ · 9× typical
$2.0K
YES on KT Rolster vs. T1
2026-07-29 10:03 UTC · at 81¢ · 8× typical
$1.9K
NO on Matilde Mariani · Mariani vs Abe
2026-07-29 10:03 UTC · at 83¢
$2.5K
YES on Hiromi Abe · Mariani vs Abe
2026-07-29 10:03 UTC · at 83¢
$1.6K
NO on Piet Luis Pinter · Pinter vs Naw
2026-07-29 10:03 UTC · at 78¢ · 4× typical
$1.4K
YES on KT Rolster vs. T1
2026-07-29 10:03 UTC · at 80¢ · 10× typical
$2.4K
NO on Kaja Najzer · Najzer vs Luciano
2026-07-29 10:03 UTC · at 83¢ · 8× typical
$1.2K
YES on KT Rolster vs. T1
2026-07-29 10:03 UTC · at 80¢ · 7× typical
$1.6K
YES on Piet Luis Pinter · Pinter vs Naw
2026-07-29 10:03 UTC · at 28¢ · 3× typical
$1.1K
NO on Piet Luis Pinter · Pinter vs Naw
2026-07-29 10:03 UTC · at 78¢ · 4× typical
$1.2K
NO on Matilde Mariani · Mariani vs Abe
2026-07-29 10:03 UTC · at 81¢
$1.2K
YES on Hiromi Abe · Mariani vs Abe
2026-07-29 10:03 UTC · at 81¢
$1.5K
YES on Welsh Fire vs Trent Rockets
2026-07-29 10:02 UTC · at 57¢ · 8× typical
$1.1K
YES on Aristotelis Thanos · Thanos vs Mridha
2026-07-29 10:02 UTC · at 92¢
$1.4K
NO on Kaja Najzer · Najzer vs Luciano
2026-07-29 10:02 UTC · at 82¢ · 8× typical
$1.2K
NO on Olle Wallin · Wallin vs Carballes Baena
2026-07-29 10:02 UTC · at 45¢ · 9× typical
$2.1K
YES on Leon Peranovic · Plans vs Peranovic
2026-07-29 10:02 UTC · at 87¢ · 8× typical
$2.3K
NO on Hazem Naw · Pinter vs Naw
2026-07-29 10:02 UTC · at 26¢ · 3× typical
$1.3K
YES on Hazem Naw · Pinter vs Naw
2026-07-29 10:02 UTC · at 74¢ · 3× typical
$1.4K
NO on Piet Luis Pinter · Pinter vs Naw
2026-07-29 10:02 UTC · at 72¢ · 5× typical
$1.6K
NO on Kaja Najzer · Najzer vs Luciano
2026-07-29 10:02 UTC · at 77¢ · 7× typical
$1.2K
YES on Alice Rame · Rame vs Rouvroy
2026-07-29 10:01 UTC · at 95¢ · 7× typical
$2.6K
YES on Piet Luis Pinter · Pinter vs Naw
2026-07-29 10:01 UTC · at 29¢ · 4× typical
$1.4K
NO on Hazem Naw · Pinter vs Naw
2026-07-29 10:01 UTC · at 29¢ · 4× typical
$1.4K
YES on Jorge Plans · Plans vs Peranovic
2026-07-29 10:01 UTC · at 23¢ · 4× typical
$1.0K
YES on KT Rolster vs. T1
2026-07-29 10:01 UTC · at 80¢ · 5× typical
$1.3K
YES on Jan Kumstat · Kumstat vs Seyboth Wild
2026-07-29 10:01 UTC · at 93¢ · 22× typical
$3.1K
HOW TO READ THIS
A flag is a statistical event: a trade unusually large for its own market, recorded the moment it printed. Not a prediction; whales are wrong often, and this ledger shows it.
Every row is verifiable against Kalshi's public trades endpoint: same market, same minute, same size. Nothing is removed after the fact. Thresholds are public on the methodology page.
The open flags above are still printing. They land on the live feed as they happen, and the Telegram channel posts the largest ones the second they land.
This ledger is what accountability looks like on an anonymous tape. Where the wallets are named, on Polymarket, the settled record is the record.
Nothing here tells you what to do. Some competitors promise verified traders or winning entries; that is data that does not exist or claims regulators have acted against. This site shows the public record, fast, with the misses on the page.
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